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投资建议来源 学原文品尝威科夫战略3

发布日期:2024-12-25 07:04    点击次数:156

投资建议来源 学原文品尝威科夫战略3

运转之前先上图

图片

Source: “The Anatomy of a Trading Range” by Jim Forte CMT, Market Technicians’Association Journal, Issue 19, 1994

Phase C

In Phase C, the stock goes through a testing process. The stock may begin to come out of the TR on the upside with higher tops and bottoms or it may go through a downside spring or shakeout, breaking previous supports. This latter test is preferred, given that it does a better job of cleaning out remaining supply from weak holders and creates a false impression as to the direction of the ultimate move. Schematic 1 shows us an example of this latter alternative.

【译文】在阶段C,股票要资格一个测试经由。股票可能弃取朝上冲突区间顶部产生更高高点或者向下冲突区间底部支执。赫然后一种测试更为可取。因为它能让东说念主对股价往日走势产生误判,更好地计帐来自弱手(散户)执有的剩余筹码。涌现图1向咱们展示了后一种弃取。

A spring is a price move below the support level of a trading range that quickly reverses and moves back into the range. A spring is an example of a “bear trap” because the drop below support appears to signal resumption of the downtrend. In reality, though, the drop marks the end of the downtrend, thus “trapping” the late sellers, or bears. The extent of supply, or the strength of the sellers, can be judged by the depth of the price move to new lows and the relative level of volume on that penetration.

【译文】弹簧(Spring)是指价钱跌破交游区间的支执位后又速即回转并回到该区间。弹簧是“熊市罗网”的法度,因为股价跌破漏洞支执位似乎预示着个股参预下落趋势。关连词,在践诺中,在这类下落标记着下落趋势的为止,从而“困住”了其后的卖家或空头。阶段C供应的进度,不错通过成交量和k线价差玄虚评判。

【补充:弹簧的格式纠合成交量如故有细分的,后续作念个专题补充讲】

Until this testing process, we cannot be sure the TR is accumulation and must wait to take a position until there is sufficient evidence that mark-up is about to begin. If we have waited and followed the unfolding TR closely, we have arrived at the point where we can be quite confident of the probable upward move.

【译文】在这个测试经由之前,咱们不成笃定交游区间是吸筹的,而况必须比及有饱和的凭证标明行将运转上升时智力笃定。如若咱们照旧恭候并密切跟踪,那么咱们必须找到咱们对可能的股价上升绝顶有信心的漏洞凭证。

The shakeout at point 8 on our Schematic 1 represents our first prescribed place to initiate a long position. The secondary test at point 10 is better, since a low volume pullback and a specific low risk stop or danger point at point 8 gives us greater evidence and more confidence to act. A sign of strength (SOS) here will bring us into Phase D.

【译文】图表1上第8点(原文写错了,应该是第7点) 的震仓给咱们提供了一个入场的位置,在这个位置咱们不错运转永远头寸。在第10点( 原文写错了,应该是第8点)基于弹簧的二次测试(ST)更好,因为低量回测第8点( 原文写错了,应该是第7点)呈现了低风险,给咱们更多的凭证和更大的信心聘请活动。一个强势信号(SOS)将把咱们带入D阶段。

老外写著述也有敷衍的工夫啊,这段彰着点数写错了,自行立异。

【闪耀:(本段讲的是区间内弹簧以过火二次测试,还有其他多种体式,上文说了后续作念专题补充】

【在缠论中不同级别核心出核心区间的一笔,纪念其泉源经常呈现广漠的震仓,稀奇是在一买、类二买中,不同级别齐日常看到震仓的身影。你正式不雅察,精心体会,会发现许多工夫概况互相印证,妙哉!】

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